Prediction Model for Mortality Analysis of Pregnant Women Affected With COVID-19 (preprint)

COVID-19 pandemic is an ongoing global pandemic which has caused unprecedented disruptions in the public health sector and global economy. The virus, SARS-CoV-2 is responsible for the rapid transmission of coronavirus disease. Due to its contagious nature, the virus can easily infect an unprotected and exposed individual from mild to severe symptoms. The study of the virus effects on pregnant mothers and neonatal is now a concerning issue globally among civilians and public health workers considering how the virus will affect the mother and the neonates health. This paper aims to develop a predictive model to estimate the possibility of death for a COVID-diagnosed mother based on documented symptoms: dyspnea, cough, rhinorrhea, arthralgia, and the diagnosis of pneumonia. The machine learning models that have been used in our study are support vector machine, decision tree, random forest, gradient boosting, and artificial neural network. The models have provided impressive results and can accurately predict the mortality of pregnant mothers with a given input.The precision rate for 3 models(ANN, Gradient Boost, Random Forest) is 100% The highest accuracy score(Gradient Boosting,ANN) is 95%,highest recall(Support Vector Machine) is 92.75% and highest f1 score(Gradient Boosting,ANN) is 94.66%. Due to the accuracy of the model, pregnant mother can expect immediate medical treatment based on their possibility of death due to the virus. The model can be utilized by health workers globally to list down emergency patients, which can ultimately reduce the death rate of COVID-19 diagnosed pregnant mothers.

Telehealthcare and Telepathology in Pandemic: A Noninvasive, Low-Cost Micro-Invasive and Multimodal Real-Time Online Application for Early Diagnosis of COVID-19 Infection (preprint)

To contain the spread of the virus and stop the overcrowding of hospitalized patients, the coronavirus pandemic crippled healthcare facilities, mandating lockdowns and promoting remote work. As a result, telehealth has become increasingly popular for offering low-risk care to patients. However, the difficulty of preventing the next potential waves of infection has increased by constant virus mutation into new forms and a general lack of test kits, particularly in developing nations. In this research, a unique cloud-based application for the early identification of individuals who may have COVID-19 infection is proposed. The application provides five modes of diagnosis from possible symptoms (f1), cough sound (f2), specific blood biomarkers (f3), Raman spectral data of blood specimens (f4), and ECG signal paper-based image (f5). When a user selects an option and enters the information, the data is sent to the cloud server. The deployed machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models classify the data in real time and inform the user of the likelihood of COVID-19 infection. Our deployed models can classify with an accuracy of 100%, 99.80%, 99.55%, 95.65%, and 77.59% from f3, f4, f5, f2, and f1 respectively. Moreover, the sensitivity for f2, f3, and f4 is 100%, which indicates the correct identification of COVID positive patients. This is significant in limiting the spread of the virus. Additionally, another ML model, as seen to offer 92% accuracy serves to identify patients who, out of a large group of patients admitted to the hospital cohort, need immediate critical care support by estimating the mortality risk of patients from blood parameters. The instantaneous multimodal nature of our technique offers multiplex and accurate diagnostic methods, highlighting the effectiveness of telehealth as a simple, widely available, and low-cost diagnostic solution, even for future pandemics.

Development of a Risk-Free COVID-19 Screening Algorithm from Routine Blood Tests Using Ensemble Machine Learning (preprint)

The Reverse Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction (RTPCR)} test is the silver bullet diagnostic test to discern COVID infection. Rapid antigen detection is a screening test to identify COVID positive patients in little as 15 minutes, but has a lower sensitivity than the PCR tests. Besides having multiple standardized test kits, many people are getting infected and either recovering or dying even before the test due to the shortage and cost of kits, lack of indispensable specialists and labs, time-consuming result compared to bulk population especially in developing and underdeveloped countries. Intrigued by the parametric deviations in immunological and hematological profile of a COVID patient, this research work leveraged the concept of COVID-19 detection by proposing a risk-free and highly accurate Stacked Ensemble Machine Learning model to identify a COVID patient from communally available-widespread-cheap routine blood tests which gives a promising accuracy, precision, recall and F1-score of 100%. Analysis from R-curve also shows the preciseness of the risk-free model to be implemented. The proposed method has the potential for large scale ubiquitous low-cost screening application. This can add an extra layer of protection in keeping the number of infected cases to a minimum and control the pandemic by identifying asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic people early.

Real-time credible online health information inquiring: a novel search engine misinformation notifier extension (SEMiNExt) during COVID-19-like disease outbreak (preprint)

Public health-related misinformation spread rapidly in online networks, particularly, in social media during any disease outbreak. Misinformation of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) drug protocol or presentation of its treatment from untrusted sources have shown dramatic consequences on public health. Authorities are utilizing several surveillance tools to detect, and slow down the rapid misinformation spread online, still millions of misinformation are found online. However, there is no currently available tool for receiving real-time misinformation notification during online health or COVID-19 related inquiries. Our proposed novel combinational approach, where we have integrated machine learning techniques with novel search engine misinformation notifier extension (SEMiNExt), helps to understand which news or information is from unreliable sources in real-time. The extension filters the search results and shows notification beforehand; it is a new and unexplored approach to prevent the spread of misinformation. To validate the user query, SEMiNExt transfers the data to a machine learning algorithm or classifier which predicts the authenticity of the search inquiry and sends a binary decision as either true or false. The results show that the supervised learning algorithm works best when 80% of the data set have been used for training purpose. Also, 10-fold cross-validation demonstrate a maximum accuracy and F1-score of 84.3% and 84.1% respectively for the Decision Tree classifier while the K-nearest-neighbor (KNN) algorithm shows the least performance. The SEMiNExt approach has introduced the possibility to improve online health communication system by showing misinformation notifications in real-time which enables safer web-based searching while inquiring on health-related issues.